March 31, 2020

The “Value” of Propaganda: Machine Predictions of Rare Events Based on Text Data

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Published in the Yale Journal of International Affairs, Volume 15, Issue 1, Spring 2020.

Julian TszKin Chan and Weifeng Zhong develop a new policy index to predict the probability of future political crackdowns in China based on textual analysis of The People’s Daily, the official newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party.

Read the full paper at Yale Journal of International Affairs.